Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 4.717154 5.091855 5.497276 5.971234 6.513616 7.119200 7.852587
2025-07-27 4.210974 4.739745 5.352780 6.127214 7.096266 8.293080 9.924278
2025-08-03 3.839650 4.439253 5.166596 6.135674 7.429327 9.156144 11.752639
2025-08-10 3.519572 4.145803 4.930132 6.016541 7.539776 9.702708 13.237107
2025-08-17 3.246593 3.877688 4.687361 5.842975 7.527632 10.044908 14.466993
2025-08-24 3.050647 3.688574 4.524760 5.751170 7.605206 10.515184 16.015858
2025-08-31 2.936713 3.595958 4.479593 5.813592 7.911618 11.392056 18.569934
2025-09-07 2.822763 3.493279 4.409169 5.826763 8.135594 12.164990 21.207595
2025-09-14 2.655848 3.306826 4.205811 5.617743 7.965918 12.193608 22.211007
2025-09-21 2.529294 3.169274 4.063225 5.489081 7.914033 12.431119 23.815665
2025-09-28 2.431494 3.066622 3.964314 5.419370 7.953284 12.850752 26.087492
2025-10-05 2.361617 2.999731 3.913388 5.421022 8.117637 13.557207 29.567237
2025-10-12 2.320292 2.974424 3.926908 5.536101 8.519860 14.907698 36.260613
2025-10-19 2.282962 2.953152 3.945449 5.662222 8.966001 16.506203 45.788511
2025-10-26 2.221212 2.892189 3.897832 5.668584 9.173412 17.584445 54.750698
2025-11-02 2.140003 2.798202 3.792474 5.563369 9.134212 18.001000 61.062237
2025-11-09 2.054287 2.693965 3.665550 5.409950 8.973851 18.043485 65.372889
2025-11-16 1.989190 2.618599 3.581476 5.328676 8.961532 18.521432 73.869152
2025-11-23 1.955827 2.590291 3.572023 5.383947 9.260457 20.049359 95.704228
2025-11-30 1.916015 2.550253 3.540945 5.395604 9.461240 21.349626 122.353387
2025-12-07 1.841391 2.453491 3.411506 5.210393 9.174306 20.890625 125.040115
2025-12-14 1.783794 2.381717 3.321265 5.096150 9.048327 20.988779 137.894229
2025-12-21 1.738932 2.328470 3.259907 5.034175 9.042926 21.535800 163.390796